[Research Seminar 2017.01.23] A Bivariate Shot Noise Self-Exciting Process for InsuranceSpeaker : Jang, Ji wook (Senior Lecturer/Macquarie University, Australia)
Abstract : In this paper, we study a bivariate shot noise self-exciting process. This process includes both externally excited joint jumps following a homogeneous Poisson process and two separate self-excited jumps, which are two Poisson cluster processes. A constant rate of exponential decay is included in this process as it can play a role as the time value of money in economics, finance and insurance applications. We analyse this process systematically for its theoretical distributional properties, based on the piecewise deterministic Markov process theory developed by Davis (1984), and the martingale methodology used by Dassios and Jang (2003). The analytic expressions of the Laplace transforms of this process and the moments are presented, which have the potential to be applicable to a variety of problems in economics, finance and insurance. In this paper, as an application of this process, we provide insurance premium calculations based on its moments. Numerical examples show that this point process can be used for the modelling of discounted aggregate losses from catastrophic events.
Keywords: Bivariate shot noise self-exciting process; Cluster point process; Piecewise deterministic Markov process; Martingale methodology; Insurance premium.
Audience : Faculty, Graduate Student
Department : Business Administration
Staff : Hyejin, Kim